Wales v South Africa: End of the road for Springboks
Having beaten Spain in the first round South Africa have taken the Iberians’ mantle as the PDC World Cup of Darts’ surprise package.
As Spain did in 2010, South Africa eliminated the fancied Scotland in round two, with Shawn Hogan holding his nerve in the sudden death leg to win the tie. Now they will face a Welsh side that have looked inimitable so far in the tournament. Although it could quite reasonably be argued that Mark Webster and Richie Burnett have yet to be tested in the tournament.
That isn’t to say they haven’t played well and Burnett’s 97.35 three-dart average in his singles match was comfortably the highest of the tournament so far. Ladbrokes have been so impressed that they have cut Wales from a pre-tournament 16/1 in to 11/2 third-favourites going into the quarters.
Bet365 quote Wales at odds of 1/4 to succeed where Spain and Scotland have failed, and see off the South Africans. And despite their opponents’ heroics so far in the tournament, those seem like accurate odds for last year’s runner-up.
The value in the tie comes once again in the Devon Petersen singles match. Petersen is very much one of the most exciting emerging talents in the PDC, and I expect he will soar up the rankings over the coming 12 months. However, as was pointed out before he faced Peter Wright, he is still exactly that: an emerging talent. Burnett, on the other hand, is a former world champion whose game is continuing to go from strength to strength.
Even without consideration for The Prince of Wales’ impressive three-dart average in the second round, I believe that there should be much greater disparity in the odds. Sky Bet offer 4/6 about Burnett and just 11/10 for a Petersen win.
The Welshman should be at least as low as 1/2 in my book, as Wright should have been, so at the 4/6 available it’s another big bet on the elder statesman.
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