Taylor v Anderson: Value in Power 180s
It’s difficult to suggest just what Gary Anderson needs to do this week in order to stop Phil Taylor. Raymond van Barneveld and Simon Whitlock have each produced three-dart averages in excess of 105 in the past two weeks, but could only manage to get four legs on the board each. Adrian Lewis and Kevin Painter each took commanding leads in the opening two weeks, only to be pegged back.
The Power’s 117.35 average last week was a Premier League record, yet, worryingly for his opponents, he believes that he can still add another “two or three points” to that number.
Anderson has been steadily improving in recent weeks and can be pleased with his three consecutive wins since losing on the opening night. However, he is still a long way short from his best, and consequently a long way short of being able to match Taylor.
At odds of 2/5 there can be few arguments made against backing The Power, despite the short odds. Anderson can, and infrequently does, show spurts of brilliance that would see him rattle off consecutive legs against anyone, including Taylor. But those bursts have becoming increasingly sporadic in recent months and I would be looking for much bigger odds than the 9/2 Boylesports offer in order to be tempted to back the Scotsman.
An interesting market is BetVictor’s betting on Taylor’s three-dart average. Last week the firm offered odds of 5/6 that the 15-time World Champion would average more than 104; this week, having watched Taylor smash through that barrier against Whitlock, they have increased the threshold to 108.5. At that tipping point it s probably a market best avoiding, but an interesting one to keep an eye on nevertheless.
One market where we can have a good value bet is the Most 180s contest. Anderson is a notorious power scorer, but the problems he has encountered so far this season have stemmed from this part of his game deserting him. In fact it has been an uncharacteristically steady checkout percentage of around 40% that has earned him victories in the past three weeks.
Anderson is currently down in fifth position in the 180s table with 11 maximums to his name, while Taylor leads the way with 19. But it is The Power who is made the outsider in this market with William Hill offering odds of 6/4 that he fills up the lipstick more often than his opponent.
• Lewis v Hamilton: Jackpot to roll on
• Wade v Whitlock: Back the maximums
• Painter v Taylor: A potential whitewash
• Hamilton v Whitlock: A grudge match with no grudge
• Taylor v Wade: Machine can handle Power
• Lewis v Painter: Do or die time for Jackpot
• Anderson v Van Barneveld: Dutchman is most reliable bet
• Anderson v Whitlock: Aussie to spoil the party
• Wade v Lewis: Revenge of the Machine
• Taylor v Hamilton: No relent in Power surge
• Van Barneveld v Painter: A Scottish homecoming
• 20/1 for another record-breaking average
• Painter v Hamilton: Tight match too close to call
• Lewis v Whitlock: Another Jackpot draw
• Wade v Barney: Form lines favour Dutchman