Netherlands v Australia: The Barney conundrum
Despite being less than convincing so far in the tournament Netherlands remain on course to defend the PDC World Cup that they won 14 months ago. But they will need to up their game considerably to see off an Australia side that have answered all questions asked of them thus far.
Simon Whitlock and Paul Nicholson are an unlikely team, and they do look a little awkward when celebrating with one another, but their inherent will to win has served the team well so far this week.
The Dutch, on the other hand, seem to have just muddled their way through the best that they can. There doesn’t look to be any camaraderie between the players, and at one point during their doubles match against Northern Ireland Raymond van Barneveld was seen ‘huffing and puffing’ in the background following a poor visit from Vincent van der Voort. While other teams are fist pumping and knocking knuckles, these two appear determined to drag each other down.
So the 1/2 available on an Australian victory in this tie looks about right, if not a little generous. Steer well clear of the Dutch at odds of around 7/4.
Despite that being a fair price, the value is available in the singles matches. This week Barney’s form has been as predictably erratic as we have come to expect. An 87.86 three-dart average against Dietmar Burger in the second round was followed by a 101.39 average against Michael Mansell in the quarters. In short, the five-time World Champion still possesses the quality, but it just depends whether he turns it on.
It would take a 10,000 word thesis to even scrape the surface of what goes on in Barney’s head, but from a betting perspective the equations are now simple when it comes to the big Dutchman. Back him when he is odds-against and bet against him when he is odds-on. It’s a theory which I am extremely confident will turn long-term profits.
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• PDC World Cup Betting: Welsh to go one better