MVG must hit the heights to beat Wright
Most believed that the winner of the semi-final between Michael van Gerwen and Adrian Lewis will go on to win the PDC World Championship and the bookies are certainly of that school of thought with MVG going into the final against Peter Wright as a 2/9 favourite.
The Dutchman shocked the watching world as he whitewashed Lewis with a sublime performance, although one that was admittedly helped by a number of missed doubles from Jackpot. The 103 average from Mighty Mike is enough to convince the bookies that he will romp to victory on New Year’s Day which is why Bet365 can muster the best price of just 2/9.
Wright should not be written off entirely though as he fired in a ton-plus average of his own in his semi-final win over Simon Whitlock and still holds the highest tournament average. He has beaten MVG twice this year, albeit in Players Championship events, which will make his best price of 7/2 with Sky Bet look very tempting to some.
There is no question that van Gerwen will have to perform at his very best to secure his first world title and anything under a three-figure average could see him suffer an upset. An average of over 100.5 from MVG is available at 5/6 with Ladbrokes and that certainly looks a decent price. He produced an average of 100.66 in defeat to Phil Taylor in the final 12 months ago and he can certainly repeat that feat.
Where the bookies seem to have over-egged the pudding in this one is the number of 180s though with the market set a little high. In last year’s final, regarded as one of the best in recent times, only 14 maximums were hit. Under 21.5 this time around is available at EVENS with Sky Bet and that looks very good value indeed. In the semi-finals MVG managed six whilst Wright scored five which again would leave them well below that margin. It will certainly still be a high quality affair but maybe not quite as good as the bookies seem to think.
Michael van Gerwen three dart average over 100.5 @ 5/6 with Ladbrokes
Under 21.5 180s @ EVENS with Sky Bet
• Lewis to get the better of MVG
• Wade and Lewis set for another classic
• Newton can out-180 Wright
• Saturday afternoon to be a 180-fest
• Whitlock and Painter to fire in the maximums
• Pipe to win dance-off with Petersen
• Jackpot and Dutch Destroyer to turn on the style
• Part no pushover for Newton
• Painter and Nicholson to go all the way
• Taylor bullied and beaten by Smith
• Burnett can push the Hammer in round two
• Barney and Caven could produce classic
• Webster in trouble against Suljovic
• Bomber Brown to destroy Smith
• MVG and Whitlock to stroll through
• Baxter to be swamped by Evans
• Caven to out Klaas Jelle
• Nicholson and Kellett could go all the way
• Walsh in trouble against Komula
• Wright and Cullen can steal the show
• Taylor will prove he is still King of the world