James Wade v Michael van Gerwen betting

After two of the best quarter-final contests we will ever have the pleasure of viewing on Saturday night, two men must regroup and refocus ahead of what is set to be an equally tight, tense and high quality semi-final clash.

Both James Wade and Michael van Gerwen’s last eight matches went the full nine sets as the former saw off Wes Newton and the latter squeezed past the defending champion Adrian Lewis. Both will have been physically and mentally exhausted but equally they will be riding a wave of confidence that each will hope will come crashing down on the other.

As is widely recognised it is not all about averages, but it is certainly about them to an extent and on that gauge alone Mighty Mike is some way ahead of the Machine. The Dutchman’s mean score was over 102 for the second time in the competition against Lewis whilst Wade produced his best of the tournament so far which was still only 92.89. The world number three proved that this isn’t all important as Newton averaged nearly five points more than him but if MVG is going to be hitting three figures then Wade will have to keep up with him or he is in big trouble.

Wade has an exceptional record against the young sensation having not lost to him for five years and knocking him out of this competition back in 2009 at the last 32 stage. They have already met in major competition this year as well and the Englishman triumphed at the quarter-final stage of the Matchplay.

This was before the Dutchman started turning the darting world on its head though and blowing players away with his terrifying brilliance. This whirlwind that has already sent him soaring to the Grand Prix title sees him labelled as an incredible 1/4 favourite to make it to his first world final whilst Wade is out at 7/2 to do the same.

Van Gerwen is uber-confident but you could certainly tell he fears Wade after his post-match interview at the quarter-final stage. Certainly 7/2 is not a price you will see very often against an in-form Machine and of the two this clearly represents the value bet, although having said that I won’t be taking it.

I certainly don’t expect Wade to crumble though and if he does lose then it won’t be heavily as he proved in the last eight, even if a player is out-scoring him, he finds a way to stay in touch and he will do the same against MVG. With the +2.5 handicap this would mean that Wade could lose by two and we would still be in the money and this looks a good bet to me at 6/5 with bet365.

A way of boosting this price though, if this is the way you see it going, is to back the over nine sets market which is at 6/4 with the same bookmaker. This allows us 6-4 or 6-5 either way, which is a very foreseeable outcome.

Recommended Bet

Over nine sets @ 6/4 with

 

 


Written By:- Phil Haigh (About our Authors)
Posted on:- 30/12/2012 - 11:41 AM
Filed in:- PDC World Championship Betting News


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