Chisnall and Painter with main stage potential
It is safe to say that the first couple of days of the 2013 UK Open have given us all plenty of value for money; however, it has taken some very careful picking to make any money with the number of upsets that have occurred.
The Palfreyman brothers Lee and Joe were the stars of Friday night as they ousted Joe Cullen and Steve Beaton respectively against the odds and each now find themselves in the latest stage of a major tournament either has ever reached.
Neither will grace the main stage in the fourth round though as there are four cracking matches in prospect in front of the television cameras on Saturday afternoon.
The first has the potential to be the match of the round as Dave Chisnall takes on James Wade for a place in the last 16. Wade has already played four matches in the competition and has looked pretty good in doing so although he was pushed pretty heavily by Jamie Caven on Friday with the Machine eventually prevailing 9-7.
Chizzy had a more comfortable Friday evening as he cantered past William O’Connor 9-4 but he is still out at a pretty attractive price against Wade. The man from St Helens is 13/8 with William Hill whilst the Machine is a very skinny best price of 4/7 with Bet Victor. Chisnall tends to go under the radar in these competitions because he hasn’t quite had the television exposure that others have but he is a top 10 player and is more than capable of beating Wade as he did the last time they met. It will most likely be a tight one and backing one man over the other I would have my money on Chisnall for the added value but if you want a safe bet then take the 5/6 offered by Sky Bet on over 14.5 legs. There isn’t much between these two and at least 9-6 either way is nailed on.
The second contest is not set to be as tight despite the fact that Adrian Gray has famously defeated Phil Taylor in the past. That game came in the World Grand Prix back in 2007 but unfortunately for the carpet fitter that big win didn’t really kick start his career and hence he goes into this clash at a price of 16/1 with Bet365. Taylor is as low as 1/40 in places for this one, a price he may have been whatever his performance on Friday but his 9-0 whitewash of Ronnie Huybrechts has confirmed his status as hot favourite.
Gray con obviously perform on the stage but he won’t be able to live with Taylor in his current form and the Power with a -6.5 handicap looks a distinct possibility at 11/10 with Sky Bet.
There’s another really tight one to follow as two players capable of the sublime and the ridiculous take to the stage in Gary Anderson and Kevin Painter. Neither have had the best of times in recent months but both are undoubtedly fantastic players. Painter enjoyed a pretty easy night on Friday hammering Jason Hogg 9-1 whilst Ando was forced to battle to a 9-7 win over Andy Smith but those wins are in the bank and both will be forgotten now.
The Scotsman in top form is the better player and that is why he is the odds-on favourite but he is not at his best at all and Painter looks a great price at 7/4 with Bet365. The Artist won both their Premier League contests in 2012 so he has no problem with Anderson on the big stage and is definitely worth backing.
Finally on the main stage we have what could be the most one-sided match of the round of even the tournament as Michael van Gerwen takes on Michael Mansell. No one will be backing Mansell despite the generous odds of 16/1 whilst backing MVG is a waste of time at 1/20. Much like the Taylor match the -6.5 handicap looks a profitable one and this one we can be even more confident about.
Dave Chisnall v James Wade over 14.5 legs @ 5/6 with Sky Bet
Phil Taylor (-6.5) to win @ 11/10 with Sky Bet
Kevin Painter to win @ 7/4 with Bet365
Michael van Gerwen (-6.5) to win @ 11/10 with Sky Bet
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